Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026?
50/50 line37%Above 3 inches
Line nearest 50/50
37%
Market median
2.623inch
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$121
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 1 inch
94%
+12
Above 2 inches
72%
-14
Above 3 inches
37%
+3
Above 4 inches
22%
Above 5 inches
8%
-7
What the market expects
median 2.623inchChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
7| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1 inch | 94% | +12.0 | $1 | $52 |
| Above 2 inches | 72% | -13.5 | $0 | $2 |
| Above 3 inches | 37% | +3.0 | $119 | $169 |
| Above 4 inches | 22% | — | $0 | $241 |
| Above 5 inches | 8% | -7.0 | $1 | $3 |
| Above 6 inches | 8% | — | $0 | $4 |
| Above 7 inches | 6% | — | $0 | $2 |
Same series
- Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?≈ Above 3 inches 6% · settles 2026-11-01