What companies will Trump say in November?
50/50 line50%Pfizer / PFE
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move+46 pts
100%
24h volume
$27K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noNetflix / NFLX
100%
Fox News
100%
MS NOW / MSNBC
100%
Nvidia / NVDA
100%
BBC
100%
+46
Uber
98%
Amazon / AMZN
87%
+17
Dell
76%
+8
Qualcomm / QCOM
71%
+16
TSMC / TSM
70%
+4
IBM
70%
+16
Micron / MU
68%
+2
Meta
67%
-4
+ 39 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Nvidia / NVDAYES $4K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $4K
- SpaceX / SPCXYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Hyundai / HYMTFYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- General Motors / GMYES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- BBCYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Netflix / NFLXYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- MS NOW / MSNBCYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBC | YES | 96¢ | $2K | |
| MS NOW / MSNBC | YES | 81¢ | $1K | |
| Netflix / NFLX | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Nvidia / NVDA | YES | 97¢ | $4K | |
| Hyundai / HYMTF | YES | 98¢ | $3K | |
| SpaceX / SPCX | YES | 98¢ | $3K | |
| General Motors / GM | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| General Motors / GM | YES | 99¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
53| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix / NFLX | 100% | — | $654 | $5K |
| Fox News | 100% | — | $0 | $2K |
| MS NOW / MSNBC | 100% | — | $187 | $2K |
| Nvidia / NVDA | 100% | — | $8K | $13K |
| Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz | 100% | — | $93 | $1K |
| BBC | 100% | +46.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Uber | 98% | — | $136 | $3K |
| Amazon / AMZN | 87% | +17.0 | $11 | $20 |
| Dell | 76% | +8.0 | $17 | $143 |
| Qualcomm / QCOM | 71% | +16.0 | $0 | $663 |
| TSMC / TSM | 70% | +4.0 | $2 | $1K |
| IBM | 70% | +16.0 | $115 | $173 |
| Micron / MU | 68% | +2.5 | $0 | $70 |
| Meta | 67% | -4.0 | $0 | $85 |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | 62% | -6.0 | $75 | $551 |
| Airbnb / ABNB | 56% | +39.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Mastercard | 56% | +35.5 | $220 | $396 |
| Chevron / CVX | 56% | +2.5 | $0 | $20 |
| Oracle / ORCL | 55% | -1.0 | $5 | $361 |
| DoorDash / DASH | 53% | +27.0 | $359 | $414 |
| Anthropic / Claude | 52% | -7.0 | $59 | $434 |
| TikTok | 52% | -4.5 | $565 | $840 |
| Pfizer / PFE | 50% | — | $10K | $11K |
| Hyundai / HYMTF | 50% | — | $432 | $3K |
| Eli Lilly / LLY | 50% | — | $93 | $5K |
| General Motors / GM | 50% | — | $0 | $4K |
| Apple / AAPL | 50% | — | $0 | $3K |
| SpaceX / SPCX | 50% | — | $203 | $4K |
| Intel / INTC | 50% | — | $0 | $3K |
| CNN | 50% | — | $0 | $6K |
| New York Times / NYT | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Boeing | 50% | — | $0 | $1K |
| Deere | 50% | — | $0 | $7K |
| Google / GOOG / GOOGL | 50% | — | $0 | $4K |
| Toyota | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| X / Twitter | 50% | — | $467 | $4K |
| UFC | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Merck | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Tesla / TSLA | 48% | -8.0 | $43 | $603 |
| Texas Instruments | 46% | +19.5 | $306 | $546 |
| JPMorgan / JPM | 40% | +17.5 | $0 | $106 |
| Microsoft / MSFT | 40% | +1.0 | $71 | $170 |
| ExxonMobil / XOM | 40% | -1.0 | $17 | $814 |
| Paramount / PSKY | 38% | +23.0 | $1 | $208 |
| Caterpillar | 34% | +10.5 | $0 | $22 |
| Honda / HMC | 33% | +7.0 | $0 | $205 |
| Turning Point | 32% | +4.0 | $186 | $203 |
| AMD | 31% | +6.0 | $0 | $28 |
| eBay | 28% | +11.5 | $245 | $1K |
| Saronic | 25% | +2.0 | $0 | $1K |
| BlackRock | 22% | +6.5 | $0 | $184 |
| Verizon | 19% | -14.0 | $41 | $55 |
| Rigetti / RGTI | 4% | -1.0 | $193 | $894 |