PPI YoY in October
50/50 line50%Above 7.1%
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Market median
6.1%
Biggest 24h move+30 pts
42%
24h volume
$17K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 6.6%
85%
-22
Above 6.3%
65%
-1
Above 6.7%
56%
+2
Above 7.1%
50%
+88
Above 6.1%
49%
-37
Above 7.0%
42%
+30
Above 7.2%
12%
+7
Above 7.3%
6%
+4
What the market expects
median 6.1%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6.6% | 85% | -22.0 | $2K | $254 |
| Above 6.3% | 65% | -1.0 | $62 | $641 |
| Above 6.7% | 56% | +1.5 | $340 | $1K |
| Above 7.1% | 50% | +88.0 | $137 | $131 |
| Above 6.1% | 49% | -37.0 | $30 | $100 |
| Above 7.0% | 42% | +29.5 | $879 | $99 |
| Above 7.2% | 12% | +7.0 | $88 | $211 |
| Above 7.3% | 6% | +4.5 | $13K | $398 |