What will JD Vance say during his rally in Rome, New York?
50/50 line50%Farm / Farmer
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
78%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$12K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noFraud
79%
Border
76%
Biden
74%
America First
70%
Social Security
68%
Steel
62%
American Dream
60%
Inflation
56%
2028 / Campaign
52%
+ 13 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
27| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | 79% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | 78% | — | $3K | $2K |
| Border | 76% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 75% | — | $7 | $7 |
| Biden | 74% | — | $3K | $2K |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 72% | — | $89 | $89 |
| America First | 70% | — | $70 | $67 |
| Social Security | 68% | — | $1K | $795 |
| Steel | 62% | — | $91 | $91 |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 61% | — | $8 | $8 |
| American Dream | 60% | — | $53 | $53 |
| Inflation | 56% | — | $118 | $118 |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 54% | — | $21 | $21 |
| 2028 / Campaign | 52% | — | $17 | $14 |
| Farm / Farmer | 50% | — | $29 | $28 |
| Illegal Alien | 34% | — | $244 | $210 |
| Economy / Economic | 32% | — | $271 | $199 |
| Midterm | 30% | — | $192 | $186 |
| Healthcare | 27% | — | $23 | $23 |
| Nuclear | 24% | — | $62 | $58 |
| Canada / Canadian | 22% | — | $86 | $68 |
| Small Business | 20% | — | $34 | $34 |
| Tariff | 18% | — | $93 | $93 |
| Made in America / American Made | 15% | — | $90 | $90 |
| China / Chinese | 15% | — | $90 | $89 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 8% | — | $74 | $74 |
| Event does not qualify | 2% | — | $146 | $133 |
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