What will JD Vance say during his Fraud Press Conference?
50/50 line90%Event does not qualify
Line nearest 50/50
90%
Runner-up
9%
Biggest 24h move+88 pts
90%
24h volume
$142K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noEvent does not qualify
90%
+88
Healthcare
8%
Corrupt / Corruption
7%
-54
Walz
6%
Democrat
6%
Taxpayer
6%
-62
Radical Left
4%
-48
+ 12 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- TaxpayerYES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taxpayer | NO | 92¢ | $5K |
All outcomes
26| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 90% | +88.5 | $11K | $6K |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 9% | — | $3K | $2K |
| Healthcare | 8% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 7% | -54.0 | $10K | $7K |
| Walz | 6% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Democrat | 6% | — | $10K | $7K |
| Taxpayer | 6% | -62.5 | $52K | $34K |
| 2028 / Campaign | 6% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Jail / Prison | 6% | — | $2K | $2K |
| ID / Identification | 6% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Trump (3+ times) | 5% | — | $8K | $5K |
| Economy / Economic | 5% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Small Business | 5% | — | $1K | $995 |
| Radical Left | 4% | -47.5 | $3K | $2K |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 4% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Autism / Autistic | 4% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Illegal Alien | 4% | — | $1K | $842 |
| Medicare / Medicaid | 4% | -66.0 | $3K | $2K |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 4% | — | $3K | $2K |
| Biden | 4% | — | $2K | $988 |
| California | 4% | — | $2K | $1K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 4% | — | $1K | $808 |
| Election | 4% | — | $10K | $6K |
| America First | 4% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Food Stamp / SNAP | 3% | — | $3K | $2K |
| China / Chinese | 3% | — | $767 | $636 |
Same series
- What will JD Vance say during his Fox News town hall?≈ America First 0% · settles 2026-11-12
- What will JD Vance say during his rally in Weatherford, Texas?≈ Illegal Alien 10% · settles 2026-11-12
- What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?≈ Nuclear 49% · settles 2026-12-02