K KalshiCulture & Media

Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026

7 outcomesSettles Dec 26, 2026 (63d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line52%At least 28 weeks
Line nearest 50/50
52%
At least 28 weeks
Market median
29.05weeks
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+28 pts
55%
At least 29 weeks
24h volume
$5K
$47K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
At least 25 weeks 95% +2
At least 26 weeks 86% -4
At least 27 weeks 78% -4
At least 29 weeks 55% +28
At least 28 weeks 52% -3
At least 30 weeks 22% +6
At least 36 weeks 2%

What the market expects

median 29.05weeks

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • At least 25 weeks
    YES $11K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $5K
  • At least 36 weeks
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
At least 36 weeksNO 99¢$2K
At least 25 weeksYES 99¢$5K
At least 25 weeksYES 99¢$2K
At least 25 weeksYES 99¢$1K
At least 25 weeksYES 96¢$3K

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
At least 25 weeks 95% +2.0 $2K $19K
At least 26 weeks 86% -3.5 $446 $6K
At least 27 weeks 78% -4.5 $322 $5K
At least 29 weeks 55% +28.0 $1K $3K
At least 28 weeks 52% -3.0 $331 $3K
At least 30 weeks 22% +6.5 $30 $6K
At least 36 weeks 2% +0.5 $1K $4K

Same series