P PolymarketCulture & Media

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

26 outcomesSettles Nov 06, 2026 (6d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite14%320-339
Favorite
14%
320-339
Runner-up
12%
340-359
Biggest 24h move-6 pts
8%
280-299
24h volume
$172K
$2.3M open interest

Current odds

one winner
320-339 14% -1
340-359 12% -2
300-319 10% -4
360-379 10%
280-299 8% -6
380-399 8% +4
400-419 6% +3
260-279 5% -4
420-439 5% +3
240-259 4% -3
440-459 3% +2
460-479 3% +1
220-239 2% -2

+ 12 more in the table below.

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

26
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
320-339 14% -1.0 $8K $88K
340-359 12% -2.0 $6K $88K
300-319 10% -4.0 $4K $88K
360-379 10% — $5K $88K
280-299 8% -5.5 $6K $88K
380-399 8% +4.2 $6K $88K
400-419 6% +2.9 $5K $88K
260-279 5% -4.1 $8K $88K
420-439 5% +3.0 $5K $88K
240-259 4% -3.2 $8K $88K
440-459 3% +2.0 $5K $88K
460-479 3% +1.4 $6K $88K
480-499 2% +0.9 $2K $88K
220-239 2% -2.2 $10K $88K
500-519 1% — $3K $88K
580+ 1% +0.5 $9K $88K
200-219 1% -2.0 $13K $88K
520-539 1% — $2K $88K
560-579 1% — $5K $88K
540-559 1% — $2K $88K
180-199 1% -1.7 $21K $88K
160-179 0% -0.5 $10K $88K
140-159 0% — $6K $88K
120-139 0% — $5K $88K
100-119 0% — $10K $88K
80-99 0% — $5K $88K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.