P PolymarketCulture & Media

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (6d) All outcomes: Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES1%
Price range (120d)
0–1%
24h volume
$1.6K
USDC traded
Open interest
$87.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

320-33912%$7.5K
300-31912%$5.0K
340-35912%$5.6K
360-37910%$4.4K
280-2998%$5.8K
380-3998%$5.9K
260-2797%$9.7K
400-4196%$4.8K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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