Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

7 outcomesSettles Nov 08, 2026 (7d)

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Favorite58%Christopher Luxon
Favorite
58%
Christopher Luxon
Runner-up
40%
Chris Hipkins
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
58%
Christopher Luxon
24h volume
$32K
$216K open interest

Current odds

one winner

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Christopher Luxon 58% +5.5 $9K $31K
Chris Hipkins 40% -4.0 $12K $31K
David Seymour 0% — $5K $31K
Carmel Sepuloni 0% — $4K $31K
Winston Peters 0% — $368 $32K
Nicola Willis 0% — $2K $31K
Chlöe Swarbrick 0% — $196 $31K

How it settles

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.