Paris curfew announced by...?

4 outcomesSettles Nov 01, 2026 (12d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line53%October 21
Line nearest 50/50
53%
October 21
Runner-up
56%
October 24
Biggest 24h move+50 pts
67%
October 31
24h volume
$139K
$281K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
October 31 67% +50
October 24 56% +40
October 21 53% +47
October 19 38% +31

Odds over time

hourly

Hourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
October 31 67% +50.5 $17K $70K
October 24 56% +40.5 $30K $70K
October 21 53% +47.3 $66K $70K
October 19 38% +31.4 $27K $70K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of the City of Paris, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements or neighborhoods of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.