Paris curfew by October 31?

October 31
Settles Nov 01, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Paris curfew announced by...?

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chance of YES74% +59.0pp in 24h
Price range (36h)
8–76%
24h volume
$20.0K
USDC traded
Open interest
$71.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 36h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

October 2466%$32.0K
October 2162%$66.8K
October 1945%$29.4K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of the City of Paris, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements or neighborhoods of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.