P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

3 outcomesSettles Jan 08, 2027 (68d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite97%70-120mm
Favorite
97%
70-120mm
Runner-up
1%
210mm+
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$370
$23K open interest

Current odds

one winner
70-120mm 97% -2
210mm+ 1%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

3
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
70-120mm 97% -2.5 $113 $8K
210mm+ 1% — $143 $8K
120-210mm 0% — $113 $8K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.