P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Precipitation in London in October?

4 outcomesSettles Jan 08, 2027 (68d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite97%70-85mm
Favorite
97%
70-85mm
Runner-up
4%
110mm+
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$263
$15K open interest

Current odds

one winner
70-85mm 97% +6
110mm+ 4%
45-60mm 1% -1

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
70-85mm 97% +6.5 $127 $4K
110mm+ 4% — $96 $4K
45-60mm 1% -1.1 $20 $4K
35-45mm 1% — $20 $4K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in October, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for October 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of October 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.