Venezuela leader end of 2026?

57 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (73d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite74%Nicolás Maduro
Favorite
74%
Nicolás Maduro
Runner-up
16%
Delcy Rodríguez
Biggest 24h move-4 pts
16%
Delcy Rodríguez
24h volume
$78K
$38.6M open interest

Current odds

one winner

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

57
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Nicolás Maduro 74% +2.0 $34K $678K
Delcy Rodríguez 16% -3.5 $23K $678K
No Head of State 2% — $121 $678K
María Corina Machado 1% — $310 $678K
Jorge Rodríguez 0% — $76 $678K
Edmundo González 0% — $120 $678K
Frank Donovan 0% — $8K $678K
Marco Rubio 0% — $6K $678K
Pete Hegseth 0% — $6K $678K
Richard Grenell 0% — $0 $678K
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 0% — $0 $678K
Dan Caine 0% — $0 $678K
Evan Pettus 0% — $0 $678K
Dinorah Figuera 0% — $0 $678K
Vladimir Padrino López 0% — $0 $678K
Donald Trump 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 2 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 4 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 6 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 8 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 10 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 12 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 14 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 16 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 18 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 20 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 22 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 24 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 26 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 28 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 30 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 32 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 34 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 36 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 38 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 40 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 1 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 3 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 5 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 7 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 9 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 11 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 13 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 15 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 17 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 19 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 21 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 23 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 25 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 27 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 29 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 31 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 33 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 35 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 37 0% — $0 $678K
Leader 39 0% — $0 $678K
Other 0% — $0 $678K

How it settles

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

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