P PolymarketCulture & Media

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

27 outcomesSettles Feb 01, 2027 (92d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite55%Avengers: Doomsday
Favorite
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
Runner-up
45%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
45%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
24h volume
$11K
$4.5M open interest

Current odds

one winner

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

27
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Avengers: Doomsday 55% -2.0 $7K $167K
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45% +2.5 $4K $167K
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 0% — $0 $167K
Dune: Messiah 0% — $0 $167K
Wuthering Heights 0% -0.5 $0 $167K
Scream 7 0% — $0 $167K
Michael 0% — $0 $167K
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 0% — $0 $167K
Toy Story 5 0% — $0 $167K
The Odyssey 0% — $0 $167K
Project Hail Mary 0% — $0 $167K
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 0% — $0 $167K
Movie B 0% — $0 $167K
Movie C 0% — $0 $167K
Movie D 0% — $0 $167K
Movie E 0% — $0 $167K
Movie F 0% — $0 $167K
Movie G 0% — $0 $167K
Movie H 0% — $0 $167K
Movie I 0% — $0 $167K
Movie J 0% — $0 $167K
Movie K 0% — $0 $167K
Movie L 0% — $0 $167K
Movie M 0% — $0 $167K
Movie N 0% — $0 $167K
Movie O 0% — $0 $167K
Other 0% — $0 $167K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.