What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 14, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 14, 2028 (440d) All outcomes: Kansas Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES72% -5.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

60–80%

30d +1 pts · 7d +0 pts

24h volume

16.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

73.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

74¢ / 75¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 74.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 9:04 AM ET	NO	27¢	5,285	$1K
Oct 30, 8:12 AM ET	YES	78¢	5,050	$4K
Oct 29, 3:02 PM ET	YES	73¢	6,722	$5K
Oct 27, 1:33 AM ET	YES	77¢	1,898	$1K
Oct 25, 8:44 AM ET	YES	77¢	2,118	$2K
Oct 23, 11:44 AM ET	NO	24¢	30,837	$7K
Oct 18, 6:31 PM ET	YES	76¢	2,588	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.