What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Massachusetts Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES98% +0.8pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

93–98%

30d +2 pts · 7d +1 pts

24h volume

58.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

533.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

98¢ / 98¢

spread 0.1¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 97.5¢ · spread 0.1¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 2:17 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,047	$2K
Oct 30, 9:18 AM ET	YES	97¢	19,823	$19K
Oct 29, 8:14 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 29, 4:17 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,552	$1K
Oct 29, 12:22 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,413	$1K
Oct 29, 12:38 AM ET	YES	96¢	9,460	$9K
Oct 28, 4:14 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,414	$4K
Oct 28, 4:10 PM ET	YES	96¢	7,172	$7K
Oct 28, 3:08 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,597	$2K
Oct 28, 11:19 AM ET	YES	96¢	7,613	$7K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.