What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: New York Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES96% +0.8pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

92–96%

30d +2 pts · 7d +1 pts

24h volume

11.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.1M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

96¢ / 96¢

spread 0.3¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 95.9¢ · spread 0.3¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 5:02 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,742	$5K
Oct 29, 10:18 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 29, 4:56 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,400	$4K
Oct 29, 11:30 AM ET	YES	96¢	10,214	$10K
Oct 29, 12:00 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,209	$1K
Oct 28, 4:42 PM ET	YES	96¢	2,071	$2K
Oct 28, 3:56 PM ET	YES	96¢	47,126	$45K
Oct 28, 3:55 PM ET	YES	96¢	17,893	$17K
Oct 28, 2:50 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,994	$2K
Oct 28, 2:50 PM ET	YES	95¢	2,000	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.