What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Ohio Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES22% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

18–53%

30d -49 pts · 7d +11 pts

24h volume

301.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.3M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

21¢ / 22¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 21.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 7:05 AM ET	YES	22¢	21,685	$5K
Oct 31, 2:06 AM ET	YES	21¢	5,793	$1K
Oct 30, 8:29 PM ET	YES	21¢	9,024	$2K
Oct 30, 8:16 PM ET	YES	21¢	43,478	$9K
Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET	NO	80¢	4,000	$3K
Oct 30, 3:38 PM ET	NO	81¢	2,440	$2K
Oct 30, 3:01 PM ET	YES	20¢	6,818	$1K
Oct 30, 10:58 AM ET	YES	22¢	7,139	$2K
Oct 30, 10:58 AM ET	YES	21¢	7,788	$2K
Oct 30, 10:58 AM ET	YES	20¢	9,940	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.