What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 66%, implying a 66% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Aaron Flint

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (380d) All outcomes: MT-01 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES66% -3.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

52–76%

30d +0 pts · 7d -11 pts

24h volume

15.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

229.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

66¢ / 67¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 66.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 18, 4:16 PM ET	NO	33¢	15,000	$5K
Oct 17, 4:10 PM ET	NO	31¢	3,750	$1K
Oct 17, 4:27 AM ET	NO	32¢	5,256	$2K
Oct 16, 11:09 AM ET	NO	31¢	12,283	$4K
Oct 14, 7:55 PM ET	YES	73¢	2,623	$2K
Oct 13, 7:51 PM ET	NO	29¢	8,339	$2K
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ET	NO	29¢	4,403	$1K
Oct 11, 12:42 AM ET	YES	72¢	61,467	$44K
Oct 5, 7:05 PM ET	YES	66¢	2,893	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.