What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NY-17 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES64% +1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

57–73%

30d +10 pts · 7d +5 pts

24h volume

25.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

130.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

63¢ / 64¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 63.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 12:05 AM ET	YES	64¢	4,572	$3K
Oct 30, 7:48 PM ET	NO	37¢	3,189	$1K
Oct 30, 7:48 PM ET	NO	37¢	6,776	$3K
Oct 30, 9:00 AM ET	NO	39¢	4,000	$2K
Oct 29, 4:33 PM ET	YES	61¢	10,409	$6K
Oct 29, 11:14 AM ET	NO	38¢	15,732	$6K
Oct 29, 8:16 AM ET	YES	63¢	4,119	$3K
Oct 27, 6:49 PM ET	YES	59¢	12,910	$8K
Oct 23, 10:03 PM ET	NO	40¢	2,596	$1K
Oct 18, 12:54 PM ET	NO	41¢	4,652	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.