What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 24, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?

chance of YES0% -36.0pp in 24h

Price range (6d)

1–37%

24h volume

419

$1 contracts

Open interest

454

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 6d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

3D100%347