What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Yes

Closes Nov 02, 2027 (480d) 24h volume 35 Open interest 4.3K Event Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)

46%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 38 days · High 60% · Low 44% · 7d -10.2pp · 30d -8.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.