What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 17, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Matthew Wong: Untitled (2017; lot 5A) sale price?

chance of YES34%

Price range (120d)

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24h volume

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$1 contracts

Open interest

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contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

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none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.