Matteo Martineau wins
chance of YES62%
Price range (12h)
58–63%
24h volume
12.5K
Open interest
12.4K
Large orders (14d)
$3K
Odds and volume
hourly, 12hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Adrian Andreev38%1.3K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 63¢ | 2,323 | $1K | |
| YES | 62¢ | 1,932 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.