What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Immigrant / Immigration

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (15d) All outcomes: What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin?

chance of YES26% +5.5pp in 24h

Price range (2d)

21–41%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.