What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Closes Jan 01, 2030 (1212d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 142.2K Event Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

13%

implied YES probability

Last 82 days · High 28% · Low 4% · 7d +220.0pp · 30d -15.8pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 18.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.