What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Closes Jan 01, 2030 (1294d) 24h volume 18 Open interest 106.3K Event Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

16%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 26% · Low 7% · 7d +87.5pp · 30d +36.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.