What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: David Picasso vs Carl Jammes Martin

chance of YES21%

Price range (120d)

20–37%

24h volume

16.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

24.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.