David Picasso wins
chance of YES78%
-2.0pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
65–83%
24h volume
5.4K
Open interest
6.4K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Carl Jammes Martin21%16.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 82¢ | 1,805 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.