K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

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chance of YES92% +4.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
12–91%
· 7d +44 pts
24h volume
2.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
23.9K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$8K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Maintain current rate8%1.4K
Hike more than 25bps0%46
Cut 1-25bps0%93

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES88¢ 3,403$3K
YES88¢ 4,250$4K
YES60¢ 2,471$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.