What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Dec 17, 2026 (47d) All outcomes: Bank of Mexico rate decision in December

chance of YES16% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–23%

· 7d +500 pts

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.