What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Bank of Mexico rate decision in November

chance of YES82% -5.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

48–97%

30d -14 pts · 7d -1 pts

24h volume

478

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.