What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

xAI

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 88.4K Event Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

6%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 72 days · High 28% · Low 3% · 7d +40.0pp · 30d +16.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.