What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $6.60

Settles Oct 31, 2026 (7d) All outcomes: Diesel prices in Oct 2026

chance of YES2% -3.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

2–42%

· 7d -94 pts

24h volume

1.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.