kalshi
Climate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Before 2027
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 18% ·
Low 5%
· 7d -14.3pp
· 30d -40.0pp
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0¢ | 0 | 10.0¢ | 800 | |
| 8.0¢ | 300 | 11.0¢ | 1500 | |
| 7.0¢ | 188 | 12.0¢ | 3000 | |
| 6.0¢ | 3312 | 14.0¢ | 120 | |
| 5.0¢ | 1371 | 15.0¢ | 150 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 9.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.