What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Exactly 4.1%

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

chance of YES26% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

14–32%

· 7d -17 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.