What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Exactly 4.3%

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

chance of YES24% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–33%

· 7d +38 pts

24h volume

172

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.