What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Chelsea vs Manchester United

chance of YES42% -10.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

48–55%

· 7d -9 pts

24h volume

802.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

829.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

42¢ / 43¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 42.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Tie26%39.2K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 7:24 AM ET	YES	43¢	4,472	$2K
Oct 31, 7:20 AM ET	NO	56¢	7,000	$4K
Oct 31, 7:17 AM ET	YES	45¢	10,638	$5K
Oct 31, 7:07 AM ET	NO	54¢	17,163	$9K
Oct 31, 6:25 AM ET	YES	48¢	5,427	$3K
Oct 31, 5:02 AM ET	NO	53¢	2,740	$1K
Oct 31, 4:36 AM ET	NO	53¢	3,636	$2K
Oct 31, 3:40 AM ET	YES	48¢	2,148	$1K
Oct 31, 3:31 AM ET	YES	48¢	6,030	$3K
Oct 31, 3:30 AM ET	YES	48¢	2,672	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.