What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Chelsea vs Manchester United

chance of YES32% +7.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

23–27%

24h volume

282.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

301.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

31¢ / 32¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 31.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Chelsea42%802.5K

Tie26%39.2K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 7:23 AM ET	YES	32¢	53,694	$17K
Oct 31, 6:18 AM ET	YES	27¢	12,295	$3K
Oct 31, 4:38 AM ET	YES	27¢	7,047	$2K
Oct 31, 1:15 AM ET	YES	27¢	7,047	$2K
Oct 30, 7:14 PM ET	YES	27¢	4,706	$1K
Oct 30, 9:56 AM ET	NO	77¢	4,000	$3K
Oct 28, 12:38 PM ET	NO	78¢	2,252	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.