What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Apr 28, 2027 (179d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Apr 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

chance of YES30% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–51%

30d +867 pts · 7d -3 pts

24h volume

594

$1 contracts

Open interest

6.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.