What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 09, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jun 09, 2027 (221d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Jun 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

chance of YES4% +4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–88%

· 7d -61 pts

24h volume

552

$1 contracts

Open interest

13.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.