Will John Malkovich win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Settles Jan 10, 2028 (436d) All outcomes: Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

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chance of YES72% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
57–75%
24h volume
20
$1 contracts
Open interest
9.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$5K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Tom Cruise10%3.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES60¢ 2,630$2K
YES58¢ 5,265$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.