Will Tom Cruise win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Settles Jan 10, 2028 (436d) All outcomes: Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

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chance of YES10% -10.0pp in 24h
Price range (40h)
5–18%
24h volume
3.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 40h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 2,430$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.