What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 20.8%

Settles Oct 26, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Google market share this week

chance of YES4% +4.0pp in 24h

Price range (4d)

1–10%

24h volume

6.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

8.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$9K

0% on YES

hourly, 4d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 16.6%100%10.7K

Above 19.8%18%11.6K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 10:48 PM ET	NO	97¢	2,020	$2K
Oct 22, 8:39 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,021	$1K
Oct 20, 9:57 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,100	$1K
Oct 20, 10:21 AM ET	NO	94¢	2,240	$2K
Oct 20, 9:02 AM ET	NO	91¢	1,480	$1K
Oct 19, 1:08 PM ET	NO	90¢	1,520	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.