What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

71° to 72°

chance of YES96% +37.5pp in 24h

Price range (31h)

52–97%

24h volume

17.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

12.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 31h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.