What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

75° or above

chance of YES0% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

1–7%

24h volume

16.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

12.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.