What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: KS-02 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES20% -2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

6–21%

30d +239 pts · 7d +11 pts

24h volume

15.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

23.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$11K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:23 PM ET	NO	81¢	8,000	$6K
Oct 30, 9:42 AM ET	NO	81¢	5,000	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.