What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NC-13 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES40% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

11–38%

· 7d +65 pts

24h volume

57.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

157.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

39¢ / 40¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 39.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:07 AM ET	YES	37¢	4,030	$1K
Oct 31, 2:10 AM ET	YES	33¢	48,522	$16K
Oct 29, 8:18 AM ET	YES	38¢	4,723	$2K
Oct 29, 8:14 AM ET	YES	37¢	5,298	$2K
Oct 29, 8:14 AM ET	YES	33¢	3,132	$1K
Oct 27, 7:51 PM ET	NO	66¢	10,000	$7K
Oct 27, 1:05 PM ET	NO	66¢	3,435	$2K
Oct 27, 10:41 AM ET	YES	37¢	7,674	$3K
Oct 27, 10:26 AM ET	NO	66¢	3,433	$2K
Oct 27, 5:59 AM ET	YES	30¢	13,274	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.