Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NY-02 House winner? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES80% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
79–90%
30d -8 pts · 7d +2 pts
24h volume
57.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
65.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
80.0¢ 286 81.0¢ 55,760
79.0¢ 1,818 82.0¢ 2,121
78.0¢ 351 83.0¢ 1,640
77.0¢ 55,461 84.0¢ 5,562
76.0¢ 261 85.0¢ 447

Mid 80.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES80¢ 56,462$45K
YES80¢ 1,810$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.