What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: TX-35 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES24% -3.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

24–57%

30d -35 pts · 7d -25 pts

24h volume

24.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

174.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

35¢ / 36¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 35.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:31 PM ET	NO	76¢	19,915	$15K
Oct 29, 5:20 PM ET	NO	72¢	6,000	$4K
Oct 25, 6:09 AM ET	NO	69¢	2,000	$1K
Oct 23, 9:29 PM ET	NO	69¢	2,465	$2K
Oct 22, 11:20 PM ET	NO	69¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 21, 1:05 PM ET	NO	66¢	2,000	$1K
Oct 21, 8:47 AM ET	YES	37¢	6,649	$2K
Oct 20, 12:48 PM ET	NO	64¢	15,721	$10K
Oct 20, 12:33 PM ET	NO	61¢	2,278	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.